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Here’s why the New York Red Bulls will win MLS Cup

Aug 16, 2012, 12:36 PM EDT

Tottenham Hotspur v  New York Red Bulls Getty Images

Cutting to the chase: They have not lost at home all season.

The New York Red Bulls are 8-0-3 on the year when they play in the friendly confines of Red Bull Arena. Surprised? I know I was. (Technically, they lost to Tottenham, but we’re not counting that here.)

For the first time, MLS Cup will be played in the home stadium of the team with the best record. So all the Red Bulls have to do is win the Supporters’ Shield and the Cup is theirs.

Of course, that’s a big if. The Red Bulls have some work to do to catch the San Jose Earthquakes. They are six points back with 10 games to go. But six of those matches are at home, and two of the road games are very winnable (New England, Philadelphia). It could happen, especially if Timmy Cahill can click with his new teammates.

(The Houston Dynamo are also undefeated at home, but I don’t see them winning the Supporters’ Shield.)

It’s gonna be cold in New York City on December 1, 2012. But winning MLS Cup will make everything just a bit warmer.

  1. freestateskc - Aug 16, 2012 at 1:19 PM

    It may be juuuuust a little early to crown them.

    Not only would they have to pass San Jose for the Supporter’s Shield but KC is in front of them also. Those teams play each other 3 times in 2 months (twice in NY) so there are plenty of opportunities for either team to pull away (or for Houston to step up if KC and NY start dropping points). Not to mention the small matter of surviving the home-and-away conference semi-final and final…

  2. sir1389 - Aug 16, 2012 at 1:46 PM

    Ill call it now. Portland gets their first away win of the year by giving NYR their first home loss of the year on Saturday off of a Kris Boyd hat trick. (Hey a guy can dream can’t he?)

  3. footballer4ever - Aug 16, 2012 at 2:04 PM

    Didn’t we just see how USA beat Mexico in their stadium after 75 years ? Therefore, why make a assume NYRB not losing a game at home, at least in MLS, will be the deciding factor. If it’s a wishful thought then i can understand, otherwise, it’s not worth to bring that up. For all i know, after not losing in the regular season, NYRB can choke big time in the playoffs.

  4. lonestarv - Aug 16, 2012 at 2:22 PM

    The one thing going against Houston in this whole scenario is the CCL dates that are stuck in between, along with internationals being called for the Sept. WCQ’ers. For CCL, they will be playing 4 more matches than NY in the same time period, with two of those being away trips to Central America. Certainly more taxing on the depth, although Dom has been managing that beautifully so far.

    Also fully expect to be missing Hainault, Boniek, Taylor and Watson for the Sept 6th home match against RSL…undoubtedly the biggest chance to drop points at home this year. Contrast that with NY not playing any matches between Aug 29th and Sept 15th, thus their big internationals not missing any league dates.

    All of that said :) … I think Houston has the more favorable league schedule.


  5. fincelticsredsoxfan - Aug 16, 2012 at 3:59 PM

    new york will not beat san jose if they make it to the mls cup final

  6. jdfsquared - Aug 16, 2012 at 11:36 PM

    Where will they play if San Jose makes the final? Buck Shaw? Surely not. Stanford Stadium? Is it available? Has anyone checked?!?!?!

  7. ndnut - Aug 17, 2012 at 12:34 AM

    Steve wrote an article about this a while ago (someone help me out here, I can’t go back that far or get the link using my iPod Touch).

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