Apr 17, 2013, 3:58 PM EST
When Newcastle goalkeeper Tim Krul was injured in this weekend’s derby, there was little doubt the Netherlands international would miss the rest of this quickly expiring season. So today’s news is less surprise than confirmation, with the 25-year-old scheduled for surgery on Monday to repair damage caused by a dislocated shoulder. The club expects him to resume at the end of July, leaving the squad to navigate the season’s last five matches without their number one.
After starting all 38 league matches for the Magpies last season, injuries have limited Krul to 24 starts this season. The number he has accrued haven’t been that impressive, a reflection of the problems Alan Pardew’s had along the back line. Krul’s only kept four clean sheets and has conceded 40 times while making 75 stops, numbers which don’t match the reputation he’s cultivated over the last two-plus seasons.
But when you look at the numbers for Newcastle’s other keepers, you see Krul’s value. Krul is allowing 1.69 goals per 90 minutes. The tandem of Robert Elliott and Steven Harper are allowing 2.02. Krul’s saving 65.2 percent of the shots he faces .His backups are only stopped 60.4 percent.
None of those numbers are particularly impressive, but the comparison shows what Newcastle’s losing. A strong, decisive keeper behind a poor defense, Krul’s absence could be worth a one or two (1.65) goals over the next three games, if we go by the rate of goals allowed alone.
For a team on the fringe of relegation, one with the Magpies’ run-in, the injury’s timing is poor. Newcastle are at eighth place West Brom this weekend before a visit from seventh place Liverpool on the 27th. Then Newcastle visit West Ham and QPR before finishing the season at home against Arsenal. With the exception of QPR, those are all teams that will provide significant tests of Elliott.
Currently on 35 points, Newcastle are four clear of the drop, though one of the teams battling relegation (Wigan) have two matches in hand. While a return to the Championship looks improbable at this point, Newcastle will be underdogs in four of their last five matches. That could open the door for a nightmare scenario, one in which the one-to-two goals difference in keepers could really matter.
Jan 31, 2015, 5:55 PM EST
All of Saturday’s action from Spain and Italy.
Jan 31, 2015, 4:57 PM EST
Arsenal and Southampton hope to keep their assaults on the Top Four in order, while Aston Villa and Swansea City hope to snap skids.
Jan 31, 2015, 4:19 PM EST
And to think, we’ve still a pair of Sunday matches on the slate. Let’s go through what’s done and dusted.
Jan 31, 2015, 3:40 PM EST
There were eight games in the PL on a busy Saturday. Here’s how it all went down with recaps, analysis and much more.
Jan 31, 2015, 3:20 PM EST
Manchester City’s boss thought his charges were very good, but is disappointed to snare a solitary point against Chelsea.
Jan 31, 2015, 3:12 PM EST
Lampard was the last player on the pitch, saluting both groups of supporters.
Jan 31, 2015, 3:06 PM EST
What did we learn from the tense draw at Stamford Bridge? Here’s three things.
Jan 31, 2015, 2:47 PM EST
Giving Chelsea and City’s players a mark out of 10.
Jan 31, 2015, 2:21 PM EST
All the goal scoring came within the 41st and 45th minutes at Stamford Bridge, as City failed to cut into Chelsea’s first-place advantage.
Jan 31, 2015, 2:00 PM EST
Want to see Benzema’s brilliant bender? Of course you do.
Jan 31, 2015, 1:40 PM EST
Blind believes United are getting close to what LVG expects.
Jan 31, 2015, 1:21 PM EST
It started off slow and tentative, but the big match between Chelsea and Manchester City is opening up
Jan 31, 2015, 1:04 PM EST
Moyesy is learning Spanish from a Manchester United fan…
Jan 31, 2015, 12:50 PM EST
For the Toffees, defense is the way forward for the rest of the season.
Jan 31, 2015, 12:33 PM EST
“It’s always difficult to be honest when you’ve had a long break,” Defoe said. “But I’ve had a mini-pre-season and I’m getting sharper and sharper.”
Jan 31, 2015, 12:16 PM EST
Sunderland now has four points breathing room from the drop zone, and three points space from Burnley.
Jan 31, 2015, 12:10 PM EST
Walters grabs first career hat trick as R’s still searching for first road point.
Jan 31, 2015, 12:09 PM EST
Losses from QPR, Hull and Leicester keep West Brom three points shy of the drop zone.
Jan 31, 2015, 12:04 PM EST
Toffees put in resolute display to climb clear of danger.
Jan 31, 2015, 11:55 AM EST
The Red Devils ease past Leicester.
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