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Form, fixtures, fate: Who will face EPL relegation?

May 7, 2013, 10:45 AM EDT

Newcastle United's coach Pardew reacts during their English Premier League soccer match against Sunderland in Newcastle Reuters

Ahead of Wigan Athletic’s clash with Swansea City this afternoon, managers of several EPL teams will be watching on nervously, as the league season edges towards a nerve-wrangling end.

Going into the final few games, up to nine teams can still be relegated as Wigan aim to complete an improbable escape  from relegation for the fourth year running.

So let’s take a look at which teams are involved in the dogfight to avoid the drop to the Championship, what their current form is and which crunch games they have left.

Wigan (WLLDW) Swansea (h); Arsenal (a); Aston Villa (h)

They can’t do it again… can they? At this time of the season, for the last four seasons, the Latics have come alive and produced form reminiscent of a title chasing outfit. Where they hide that talent from August to March each year is a mystery. Just three points from safety, a win against Swansea tonight (in the extra game they have over other rivals) would bring all the other teams in the bottom half of the EPL into the battle. A tough trip to Arsenal follows the home game against the Swans and the small matter of an FA Cup final against Manchester City is a bit of a distraction. Has Wigan’s luck finally run out?

Newcastle (DLDLD): QPR (a); Arsenal (h)

No win from their last five, a 6-0 hammering at home by Liverpool and a 3-0 home drubbing by fierce rivals Sunderland has sent Newcastle into free-fall. Just a few weeks ago they were almost knocking Benfica out of the Europa League quarterfinals. Now the Magpies and their French inspired squad are staring at the trap door to the Championship with eyes as wide as saucers. A tough last-game at home to Arsenal, who will need the points to guarantee an Champions League place, is sure to turn Alan Pardew’s gray hair several shades lighter.

Norwich (DLWLL): WBA (h); Man City (a)

Another side who looked home and hosed a few weeks ago, now Norwich City are staring nervously behind them. And rightly so, because the Canaries have maybe the toughest schedule of any of the relegation battlers. West Brom at home could yield points, but a trip to Manchester City on the final day of the season seems ominous. A lack of goals and silly defensive errors have let Norwich down at the crucial part of the season.

Sunderland (LWWLD): Southampton (h); Tottenham (a)

Well, Paolo Di Canio has certainly had a huge impact since arriving on Wearside. Two wins, two defeats and one draw from his first five games is a decent return. But he has dubbed this weekend’s game against Southampton at the Stadium of Light as Sunderland’s “Champions League Final.” They should be safe. But you never know. Di Canio will certainly be watching Wigan versus Swansea tonight, hoping the Welsh side prevail to ease his anxiety levels.

Southampton (WDDLL): Sunderland (a); Stoke (h)

Another side that looked to be way out of the relegation scrap, talk of pushing for the top eight surrounded the South Coast side a few weeks ago after three straight-wins. But no win in four since has seen the Saints slip alarming down the table. They should be fine (I keep telling myself that) but with Wigan’s form, you just never know. A huge battle with Sunderland next weekend could determine their fate. Then a home game against Stoke on the last day of the season isn’t too difficult. But Mauricio Pochettino’s men will hope to be safe by then, they have the quality. But do they have the nerve?

Aston Villa (WDLWW): Chelsea (h); Wigan (a)

What a few weeks it has been for Aston Villa. Only one defeat from their last five, including that huge 6-1 win over Sunderland, has left everyone breathing a little easier at Villa Park. Now though, two huge games await with a home game against top four chasing Chelsea and then a crucial/critical/mammoth/huge clash with Wigan on the final day of the season. Paul Lambert will be hoping his side are safe by then, but I feel a last day finale at the DW Stadium could decide which side will join QPR and Reading in the Championship next year.

Prediction: We also have to mention Fulham and Stoke, who are still not out of danger, however I believe both sides will be safe from relegation before the final day of the season. As valiant as Wigan’s effort has been, I think they will succumb to the dreaded drop. With an FA Cup final and two midweek game sandwiched into the final few weeks of the season, it just seems too much to handle for their small squad. But if Wigan somehow push through, Newcastle and Norwich could be heading down.

  1. billobrienschindimple - May 7, 2013 at 11:51 AM

    I’m with you. I just don’t see it anyway Martinez can escape this one.

  2. jrocknstuff - May 7, 2013 at 1:03 PM

    I think it’s very possible Wigan, Newcastle, Norwich and Sunderland all finish on 41 points while the Saints finish on 40. A loss at Sunderland and a draw at St. Mary’s against Stoke isn’t out of the question for them. Meanwhile Newcastle may be able to find their form for one match and steal the 3 points they need for safety at QPR. That leaves us with Villa. If they find a way to steal a point from their home match with Chelsea, they too could finish on 41 and the Saints could be going down. However, if Villa fall to Chelsea, I see them also finishing on 40 and losing out to Southampton on goal differential.

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