Skip to content

All eyes on Newcastle v. Arsenal for final Champions League spot

May 19, 2013, 10:19 AM EDT

Arsenal v Wigan Athletic - Premier League Getty Images

With the final day of the 2012-13 Premier League season set to kick off, the main focus turns to Newcastle v. Arsenal (as well as Tottenham v. Sunderland and Chelsea v. Everton), where the results will decide which club will join Manchester United, Manchester City and Chelsea in the Champions League.

For Arsenal, the match at Newcastle represents the difference between finishing 3rd place and earning an automatic spot in next fall’s Champions League, finishing 4th place and earning a qualifying spot in the Champions League (requiring more play-in matches), or finishing 5th place and losing out on Europe’s biggest tournament.

The Gunners head into Sunday’s match 4th in the table on 70 points, two points shy of 3rd place Chelsea and one point ahead of 5th place Tottenham. Here’s how the situation breaks down:

  • With a victory at Newcastle and a Chelsea loss against Everton, Arsenal will take 3rd place and the coveted automatic Champions League spot.
  • With a victory at Newcastle and a Chelsea win against Everton, Arsenal will finish 4th in the table and claim the Champions League qualifying spot.
  • With a victory at Newcastle and a Chelsea draw against Everton, things grow more complicated as a playoff match could be required to decide 3rd place. It all comes down to goal differential, where Arsenal enjoying +34 goals on the season, one shy of Chelsea’s mark. If Arsenal beat Newcastle by a single goal and score two more than Chelsea, who must draw with Everton, a playoff match (to be held on May 26th) will be required. Given the goal differential, the situation pans out on a sliding scale of scores. In other words, a 0-0 draw at Stamford Bridge would require the Gunners to win 2-1, or a 1-1 draw at the Bridge would mean Arsenal would need to win 3-2, and so on.
  • If the Gunners draw at Newcastle, they have no chance at a 3rd place finish but could still finish 4th if Tottenham lose or draw with Sunderland. If Spurs beat the Black Cats, however, an Arsenal draw will see the Gunners fall to 5th place and out of a spot in the Champions League.

So, can Arsenal get the job done?

It seems like a foregone conclusion as Newcastle have nothing to play for and have been a disaster at home of late, losing their last two matches at St. James’ Park by a combined 9-0 (to Sunderland and Liverpool). The slaughterings underscore the Magpies leaky defense, which could get even worse this summer as captain Fabricio Colocinni looks poised to leave the club.

Many pundits question whether Alan Pardew’s side will even take this match seriously. Following the Magpies 2-1 victory over QPR last week, the manager celebrated his side’s confirmation of top-flight football by claiming that he didn’t care if his side lost 4-0 to Arsenal on Sunday. Pardew has since recanted such comments, deeming them to merely be a joke. But Spurs fans aren’t laughing as their Champions League lives depend on Newcastle showing up and getting a result.

 

Latest Posts
  1. Maradona’s quote after Pope’s inter-religious peace match is priceless

    Sep 1, 2014, 11:30 PM EDT

    201409011528557269254 AP

    “Today two powers were brought together, the hand of God and that of the Pope,” Maradona joked. No, really. That’s what he said.

  2. Premier League Team of the Week: Find out who starred on Matchday 3

    Sep 1, 2014, 10:29 PM EDT

    Newcastle United v Crystal Palace - Premier League Getty Images

    From a 18-year-old Jamaican-English midfielder to a 34-year-old veteran goalkeeper, this team takes a ride through all types of players.

  3. Premier League player of the week — Round 3

    Sep 1, 2014, 9:38 PM EDT

    diego_costa Getty Images

    In the end, the player had to come from the nine-goal thriller at Goodison Park.

  4. VIDEO: Breaking down the Deadline Day deals with the NBCSN crew

    Sep 1, 2014, 8:48 PM EDT

    stambouli_730

    Rebecca Lowe, Robbie Earle and Robbie Mustoe bring you plenty of analysis on the summer transfer window’s Deadline Day.

  5. Premier League transfer window grades – Which team did the best business?

    Sep 1, 2014, 8:45 PM EDT

    Everton v Chelsea - Premier League Getty Images

    Passing or failing? Take a gander at how each Premier League team fared.

  6. Done Deal: Radamel Falcao completes move to Manchester United

    Sep 1, 2014, 8:32 PM EDT

    Falcao AP

    Falcao signs for United, arrives on loan from Monaco with view to a permanent transfer.

  7. Done Deal: Better late than never, Arsenal seals deal with Welbeck

    Sep 1, 2014, 8:09 PM EDT

    Sunderland v Manchester United - Premier League Getty Images

    Manchester United’s Danny Welbeck went away to London for international break, and won’t return to the club after sealing a move to Arsenal.

  8. Americans Abroad wrap: Guzan stays unbeaten, Lichaj & Bedoya thrive

    Sep 1, 2014, 7:26 PM EDT

    FC Nantes v Montpellier Herault SC - Ligue 1 Getty Images

    Nantes, Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa are all surprising early-season teams, and Americans are playing big roles in each club’s success.

  9. Done Deal: Listing all the Deadline Day deals from the Premier League

    Sep 1, 2014, 7:13 PM EDT

    Ajax Amsterdam v PEC Zwolle - Johan Cruijff Shield Getty Images

    The biggest confirmed transfers on Deadline Day including Premier League teams.

  10. WATCH: Bart Simpson joins FC Zenit on deadline day; Greeted by AVB

    Sep 1, 2014, 6:40 PM EDT

    BwcxsXUCAAEscIQ

    If Andre Villas-Boas thought Emmanuel Adebayor was hard to handle, wait til he gets a load of this American character.

  11. Alvaro Negredo signs for Valencia on loan, $40 million deal in place

    Sep 1, 2014, 6:23 PM EDT

    Negredo Getty Images

    Negredo leaves City, heads back to Spain to play for Valencia.

  12. Hull City sign Gaston Ramirez on loan, agree deal for Ben Arfa

    Sep 1, 2014, 5:42 PM EDT

    Austria v Uruguay - International Friendly Match Getty Images

    Hull busy on Deadline Day as Ramirez joins on loan, plus Ben Arfa.

  13. WATCH: Own goal for ages, Zlatan hat trick key PSG win over St Etienne

    Sep 1, 2014, 5:37 PM EDT

    Paris Saint-Germain FC v AS Saint-Etienne - Ligue 1 Getty Images

    In the words of NHL commentator Rick Jeanneret, roll the highlight reel for Ibra, Cavani and PSG, and the lowlight reel for one poor keeper.

  14. Reports: Arsenal to fork over $26 mil for Manchester United’s Welbeck

    Sep 1, 2014, 4:40 PM EDT

    Britain Soccer England AP

    Not a huge risk for Arsenal, but certainly a good bit of business for United. Could Welbeck become the next Daniel Sturridge?

  15. Deadline Day Transfer Rumor Roundup: 11th hour edition

    Sep 1, 2014, 4:18 PM EDT

    1409570021796_wps_117_BURNLEY_ENGLAND_AUGUST_30 Getty Images

    Jermain Defoe, Danny Welbeck and Hatem Ben Arfa all make one last run through the rumor mill as the deadline draws near.

  16. Done Deal: Daley Blind is officially a member of Manchester United

    Sep 1, 2014, 3:49 PM EDT

    _77314123_bwejvymimaacber

    The Dutch international rejoins his World Cup boss for four seasons at “the biggest club in the world.”

Featured video

Official: Welbeck signs for Arsenal