Skip to content

All eyes on Newcastle v. Arsenal for final Champions League spot

May 19, 2013, 10:19 AM EDT

Arsenal v Wigan Athletic - Premier League Getty Images

With the final day of the 2012-13 Premier League season set to kick off, the main focus turns to Newcastle v. Arsenal (as well as Tottenham v. Sunderland and Chelsea v. Everton), where the results will decide which club will join Manchester United, Manchester City and Chelsea in the Champions League.

For Arsenal, the match at Newcastle represents the difference between finishing 3rd place and earning an automatic spot in next fall’s Champions League, finishing 4th place and earning a qualifying spot in the Champions League (requiring more play-in matches), or finishing 5th place and losing out on Europe’s biggest tournament.

The Gunners head into Sunday’s match 4th in the table on 70 points, two points shy of 3rd place Chelsea and one point ahead of 5th place Tottenham. Here’s how the situation breaks down:

  • With a victory at Newcastle and a Chelsea loss against Everton, Arsenal will take 3rd place and the coveted automatic Champions League spot.
  • With a victory at Newcastle and a Chelsea win against Everton, Arsenal will finish 4th in the table and claim the Champions League qualifying spot.
  • With a victory at Newcastle and a Chelsea draw against Everton, things grow more complicated as a playoff match could be required to decide 3rd place. It all comes down to goal differential, where Arsenal enjoying +34 goals on the season, one shy of Chelsea’s mark. If Arsenal beat Newcastle by a single goal and score two more than Chelsea, who must draw with Everton, a playoff match (to be held on May 26th) will be required. Given the goal differential, the situation pans out on a sliding scale of scores. In other words, a 0-0 draw at Stamford Bridge would require the Gunners to win 2-1, or a 1-1 draw at the Bridge would mean Arsenal would need to win 3-2, and so on.
  • If the Gunners draw at Newcastle, they have no chance at a 3rd place finish but could still finish 4th if Tottenham lose or draw with Sunderland. If Spurs beat the Black Cats, however, an Arsenal draw will see the Gunners fall to 5th place and out of a spot in the Champions League.

So, can Arsenal get the job done?

It seems like a foregone conclusion as Newcastle have nothing to play for and have been a disaster at home of late, losing their last two matches at St. James’ Park by a combined 9-0 (to Sunderland and Liverpool). The slaughterings underscore the Magpies leaky defense, which could get even worse this summer as captain Fabricio Colocinni looks poised to leave the club.

Many pundits question whether Alan Pardew’s side will even take this match seriously. Following the Magpies 2-1 victory over QPR last week, the manager celebrated his side’s confirmation of top-flight football by claiming that he didn’t care if his side lost 4-0 to Arsenal on Sunday. Pardew has since recanted such comments, deeming them to merely be a joke. But Spurs fans aren’t laughing as their Champions League lives depend on Newcastle showing up and getting a result.

 

Latest Posts
  1. VIDEO: Brazilian team concedes 5th goal, starts throwing haymakers at each other

    Apr 27, 2015, 10:45 PM EDT

    Placido de Castro players fight

    Sometimes words can’t be used to express emotions, so this team resorted to throwing wild haymakers instead.

  2. Pablo Zabaleta says Pellegrini deserves more respect after last year’s trophies

    Apr 27, 2015, 9:10 PM EDT

    Pablo Zabaleta & Manuel Pellegrini, Manchester City FC Getty Images

    A friendly reminder that we’re all entirely too knee-jerk with our reactions these days.

  3. WATCH: USMNT’s Bobby Wood scores golazo after mazy run through midfield

    Apr 27, 2015, 7:15 PM EDT

    Bobby Wood, Erzgebirge Aue Getty Images

    This one is an absolute beauty from Bobby Wood, who’s doing his part to keep Erzgebirge Aue from being relegated out of 2. Bundesliga.

  4. How’s Freddy Adu doing in Finland? Watch this every-touch video to find out

    Apr 27, 2015, 6:00 PM EDT

    Freddy Adu, KuPS Freddy Adu, KuPS

    Freddy made his second appearance for KuPS last week, and dare we say it, he looked pretty good. See for yourself.

  5. Bournemouth beat Bolton, all but officially seal promotion to the Premier League

    Apr 27, 2015, 4:55 PM EDT

    Matt Richie, AFC Bournemouth Getty Images

    Only an all-time historic meltdown of epic proportions can keep Bournemouth out of the Premier League now.

  6. MLS Player of the Week — Week 8: Columbus Crew SC’s Ethan Finlay

    Apr 27, 2015, 4:15 PM EDT

    Ethan Finlay, Columbus Crew SC Getty Images

    Maybe the best player in MLS that you don’t know about, it’s time to recognize Ethan Finlay.

  7. MLS Team of the Week — Stars of Week 8

    Apr 27, 2015, 3:30 PM EDT

    Jozy Altidore, Toronto FC Jozy Altidore, Toronto FC

    28 goals in 9 games means choices aplenty for this week’s MLS Team of the Week.

  8. St. Mirren captain accidentally spears teammate in the thigh in “daft prank” gone awry

    Apr 27, 2015, 3:11 PM EDT

    St Mirren v Hearts - Scottish Communities League Cup Final Getty Images

    Now 21-year-old midfielder John McGinn is set for three weeks on the sidelines, though he also has a heck of a story.

  9. The stingiest squad gets stronger: Vermaelen returns to Barca’s top La Liga D

    Apr 27, 2015, 2:18 PM EDT

    Thomas Vermaelen AP

    The 29-year-old Belgian center back joins a unit which has conceded just 19 goals in La Liga play, the best total in the league by six goals.

  10. Eden Hazard joins “freestyle” video, calls rabona off crossbar, walks away in victory (video)

    Apr 27, 2015, 1:35 PM EDT

    Hazard AP

    Hazard is now the PFA’s reigning Player of the Year. We doubt very much this video will make his peers think they voted incorrectly.

  11. Not even allowed an appeal: CONCACAF confirms Bush suspension for Champions League final

    Apr 27, 2015, 1:16 PM EDT

    America v Montreal Impact - CONCACAF Champions League Getty Images

    Backup keeper Erik Kronberg is ineligible for the competition since he was a part of Sporting KC earlier in the tournament.

  12. Newcastle legend Shearer takes aim at players, Magpies “mess”; Carver asks for protection

    Apr 27, 2015, 12:07 PM EDT

    Newcastle United v Swansea City - Premier League Getty Images

    The headlines aren’t being kind to Newcastle on Monday morning, and it seems their manager is sick of his players’ performance and grief from supporters.

  13. MLS progress report: Checking in on the East-West supremacy battle

    Apr 27, 2015, 11:08 AM EDT

    Cristian Higuita, Diego Chara AP

    True to form, the West is leading. Perhaps not to expectations, but leading nonetheless.

  14. Premier League Playback: Chelsea brilliant, not boring, as title inches closer

    Apr 27, 2015, 10:35 AM EDT

    Mourinho Getty Images

    PST’s Lead Writer and Editor takes an alternative look at Week 34 in the PL.

  15. VIDEO: Premier League Team of the Week — Stars of Round 34

    Apr 27, 2015, 10:10 AM EDT

    Britain Soccer Premier League AP

    Find out which club put forth a performance that was second to none in Round 34 of the Premier League.

  16. MLS official squashes rumor of emergency intra-MLS goalkeeper loan for CONCACAF Champions League final

    Apr 27, 2015, 9:21 AM EDT

    Andrea Pisanu, Sean Johnson, AP

    A potential week-long loan of Chicago Fire goalkeeper Sean Johnson to the Montreal Impact for this Wednesday’s second leg of the CONCACAF Champions League final against Club America is not going to happen.

  17. VIDEO: Premier League Player of the Week — Round 34

    Apr 27, 2015, 8:35 AM EDT

    cD05ODdlNmNhY2MwMjRlZWQzNTJhM2ViYTQ1Y2VlY2YzOCZnPTViMDJlZDhlYjcxNDdmN2UxMmYxZTdlMDRmNjAxNzM1 Getty Images

    Find out whose star shone above the rest in the Premier League this weekend.

  18. 10 things you should know about Premier League new boys Watford

    Apr 27, 2015, 8:08 AM EDT

    Thumbs Up Thumbs Up

    Elton John. American skippers and Harry Potter. Get to know the Hornets ahead of their PL return.

  19. Rodgers unsure whether Sturridge will return for Liverpool this season

    Apr 27, 2015, 7:50 AM EDT

    Manchester City v Liverpool - Premier League Getty Images

    Sturridge and Luis Suarez registered 52 PL goals last season. Liverpool as a team has 47 this season.

Featured video

Should Chelsea be more entertaining?