Jun 24, 2013, 6:46 PM EDT
Among the three-way tie atop the league’s scoring charts, Marco Di Vaio’s name stands out. He’s the one established sniper, and although his goal rate was down over his last days in Italy and his initial arrival in Montréal, many picked the Bologna icon to have this type of effect when he arrived in North America. Through 13 starts this season with the Impact, the 36-year-old has 10 goals.
Jack McInerney, however, was mostly promise coming into the season, while Mike Magee was an established workhorse. Back in February, nobody picked either to challenge atop the league’s scoring charts. That we inch toward July with each challenging Di Vaio is surprising, with many expecting the duo to regress from their current rates.
This isn’t a law of averages thing. It’s not about things evening out. It’s about assessing capabilities. Is Jack McInerney really somebody who’s a two-in-three type of scorer right now? If you think so, then his current standing shouldn’t surprise you. And is Mike Magee really a player who, for the first time in his career, can get you three or four goals a month? That one seems harder to sell.
There are, however, reasons to believe each could sustain a high goal rate. Perhaps two-in-three is too much, but with changes each player has experienced in their club surroundings, it becomes easier to explain improvement over their previous totals.
Let’s start in Philadelphia, where a hot four months has Jack McInerney in the Gold Cup picture. His early returns, however, were based on a shots-on-goal conversation rate of over 50 percent. Whether it was especially good chances or improbably good finishing, the numbers said McInerney would slow up.
Now those numbers have slipped, down to 43.4 percent, yet JackMac is still atop the scoring charts. The reason may be something more sustainable. As Goal.com’s Keith Hickey describes at the end of his recent Union feature, the connection between McInerney and his head coach, John Hackworth, may be a factor, with the man who oversaw some of his training at Bradenton showing new confidence in the 20-year-old:
Hackworth oversaw McInerney as a high-schooler at Bradenton, was instrumental in drafting him as a Union player in 2010, and has built a bond that has been rewarded on the field. The key to unlocking the potential of his star striker it seems, is trust …
“Trust is not something you can develop with a conversation or in a short amount of time. It takes some time. I think there’s a reason that some players on this team and our staff have that level of trust. It’s because we, through different teams or situations, interacted with each other and had built up a lot of that trust… Jack is obviously an example of that and doing very well.”
McInerney’s conversation rate is regressing, but he’s also being used better than he was under Peter Nowak. That means more confidence, more chances, and a better chance of maintaining his goal rate.
Mike Magee’s situation has some similarities. Though his previous coach, Bruce Arena, didn’t lack for confidence in former Galaxy man, he was never seen as somebody to rely on for goals. (Oh, the luxuries of being a team with Robbie Keane and Landon Donovan.) Yet in Chicago, he’s immediately been installed as the focal point in attack, playing ahead of players like Chris Rolfe, Daniel Paladini, and Joel Lindpere – players who can create chances for him.
Put simply: All of Magee’s career numbers were accrued as a complementary player. Now, he’s the main man. Is he really that type of player? Somebody with skills to justify installing him as a focal point? In this discussion, it doesn’t matter. He’s certain to get more and better chances to score goals in his current job than he’s had at any other point in his career.
Their current rates will be near-impossible to maintain, but there’s reason to believe McInerney and Magee’s regressions won’t be as steep as their pasts suggest. There are narratives to support their newfound production.
May 26, 2015, 7:38 AM EDT
Real’s president isn’t quite sure why he fired Ancelotti. That says it all.
May 25, 2015, 11:30 PM EDT
McClaren was Mike Ashley’s first managerial target earlier this month. Now unemployed, will McClaren end up at Newcastle United?
May 25, 2015, 10:26 PM EDT
Go behind the scenes, all-access style, with Xavi on the day of his final Camp Nou appearance.
May 25, 2015, 9:21 PM EDT
With his contract expiring this summer, Dani Alves is posturing — and doing it well — for upcoming negotiations.
May 25, 2015, 8:08 PM EDT
We’re only through 12 weeks of the 2015 season, but one man is threatening to run away with the Golden Boot race already.
May 25, 2015, 6:17 PM EDT
Four of the league’s bottom-five teams won over the weekend, making this week’s TOTW a bit of a “who’s that?” instead of a “who’s who.”
May 25, 2015, 5:30 PM EDT
The problem at Real Madrid isn’t the manager year after year, it’s a problem of accountability, and it comes from the top.
May 25, 2015, 4:46 PM EDT
Few games can make an entire season the way one victory in the Rome derby can do. Only this time, there was CL football on the line.
May 25, 2015, 3:30 PM EDT
It’s time to look back at the men who shaped the Premier League’s teams this season: the managers victorious, and gone.
May 25, 2015, 3:10 PM EDT
The workers would make close to $300 a month for the full-time work.
May 25, 2015, 2:21 PM EDT
The American club wisely made its role in the advertisement understated, as it salutes its new midfielder.
May 25, 2015, 1:39 PM EDT
The Italian manager had more or less conceded his job status earlier Monday due to a bout with cervical stenosis.
May 25, 2015, 1:07 PM EDT
It’s time to take a look back at the seasons of four American players in the Premier League, and one who is no longer.
May 25, 2015, 11:56 AM EDT
It’s called the richest game in the world, with an estimated $180 million on the line, though it didn’t provide a wealth of scoring chances.
May 25, 2015, 11:12 AM EDT
Now, it’s time to take a look back at — in no particular order — 10 storylines that helped make the Premier League season a memorable one.
May 25, 2015, 10:01 AM EDT
Norwich is hoping for a quick fire return to the PL after being relegated last season, while Middlesbrough was sent packing to the second flight in 2009.
May 25, 2015, 9:00 AM EDT
See what Robbie Earle, Robbie Mustoe and Kyle Martino tabbed as top of the pops in a surprisingly QPR-heavy Top Ten list.
May 25, 2015, 8:45 AM EDT
The Hammers have specific characteristics in mind for the next Premier League boss at the Boleyn Ground.
May 25, 2015, 7:54 AM EDT
Morales played sparingly for Hertha Berlin in the Bundesliga from 2011-12.
May 25, 2015, 12:30 AM EDT
MLS is reportedly pursing the signatures of Andrea Pirlo and Didier Drogba.
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