Feb 19, 2014, 3:04 AM EDT
It’s not just that Milan has struggled all season, their 10th place standing in Serie A a testament to the club’s most disappointing seasons in 15 years. It’s the fact that they matchup particularly poorly against Atlético Madrid, a team as comfortable without the ball as with. For a Rossoneri side strong in possession but weak in defense — a team that’s had trouble keeping goals off the scoresheet against capable counter attackers Napoli and Juventus (allowing eight in three games) — it’s a potential recipe for a landslide. As a Milan team that’s had trouble converting possession into goals presses for a home result, Atlético forwards Diego Costa and David Villa will get their chances against central defenders Adil Rami and Cristian Zaccardo.
Given how Atlético’s performed for most of this season, that’s how this game should play out, but in light of the Rojiblancos’ recent slide, the extent to which ‘most of this season’ applies is open to debate. Through the beginning of February, Atlético had only lost once all season. Then, in the span of eight days, Atleti lost three times: twice to Real Madrid; once to Almería. Though they bounced back this weekend with a 3-0 win over Valladolid (scoring twice in the first four minutes), 90 minutes weren’t enough to answer all questions. Has the Atlético that blew through the first five months of this season returned, or has February brought them back to earth?
If February’s Atlético is not the same team that tore through fall, Milan has reason to think they can advance. Though they have not been convincing since Clarence Seedorf took over for Max Allegri as head coach on Jan. 16, the team has improved, enough so that talents like Mario Balotelli and Kaká could craft a tie-turning goal if needed. If Atletico are closer to Milan’s level than they appeared this fall, the Rossoneri can play for that one crucial goal. They can play a possession game that waits (rather than pushes) for openings, trusting that a 180-minute game will produce at least one opportunity.
That’s Milan’s best hope, but consider the odds of that situation coming to fruition. In the six months since the 2013-14 season started, Atlético has had one back week. While that week has come relatively recently, it’s also been put into the near past by the team’s weekend result against Valladolid. What are the odds that, over this two-leg tie, Atlético will regress to that poor form? And what are the odds Diego Simeone’s team will play as they have throughout the other five-plus months of the season?
The only argument that sees Milan as a realistic threat relies on the irrelevant: history. With seven European titles, Milan is European elite, a status the means nothing come kickoff on Wednesday. While those results may translate into faith among the fanbase and some belief within the team, they also say nothing about the capabilities of the current squad. Better measures of Milan’s potential to upset Atlético are this year’s results, few of which recommend the Rossoneri as potential quarterfinalists.
Even if with midfield linchpin Tiago and left back Felipe Luis unlikely to play, Atlético should be considered heavy favorites to advance. The principles that allowed them to join Barcelona and Real Madrid in Spain’s title race will still be evident on the field. Consistently able to outwork opponents without unduly exposing themselves, Atlético has developed a way to match up with almost any team in the world, their faith in their own effort making them a dark house in both Spain and Europe.
Whether Milan can match their effort will depend on the Atlético that shows up at the San Siro. If it’s the team that struggled throughout the middle of February, the Rossoneri can claim a result. If it’s the team that’s defined Atlético’s 2013-14 surge, Milan will be out of their league.
May 4, 2015, 9:39 AM EDT
Chelsea are the champions of England, and anyone holding a gripe with the Blues’ title simply harbors some other form of resentment for the London club.
May 4, 2015, 8:34 AM EDT
The 24-year-old right back has long been behind Dani Alves in Barca’s pecking order. Alves is out of contract this summer, but the 31-year-old is still wanted by Barcelona.
May 4, 2015, 7:49 AM EDT
Greaves also played for Chelsea, AC Milan and West Ham United during the prime of his career.
May 3, 2015, 11:10 PM EDT
Sour grapes from a manager who just lost his trophy.
May 3, 2015, 10:00 PM EDT
One miss and you’re out. That’s the Louis van Gaal way.
May 3, 2015, 9:10 PM EDT
The combination of Clint Dempsey and Obafemi Martins was too much to handle for NYCFC as the duo ran rampant at Yankee Stadium.
May 3, 2015, 8:40 PM EDT
Chelsea may have just won the title, but Robbie Earle and Kyle Martino are already looking ahead to next season.
May 3, 2015, 8:00 PM EDT
John Carver is almost certainly on his way out at Newcastle United, but how quickly will the club make changes?
May 3, 2015, 7:03 PM EDT
It was far from pretty for Sporting KC, but three points is three points, as they say.
May 3, 2015, 6:30 PM EDT
Catch up on all of Sunday’s action from Spain and Italy’s top flights.
May 3, 2015, 5:33 PM EDT
The Blues’ legend has had a hand in all four of Chelsea’s Premier League titles, but claims this one is special.
May 3, 2015, 4:45 PM EDT
Wilshere has been linked with a move to Manchester City, but his manager believes the midfielder will remain a Gunner.
May 3, 2015, 4:00 PM EDT
The Chelsea captain had one of his best seasons in years, and took a jab at a former manager who said he couldn’t play twice in one week.
May 3, 2015, 3:30 PM EDT
The former Arsenal and Barcelona midfielder says he knew Chelsea was the place to go to win trophies in England, including the big one cliched Sunday.
May 3, 2015, 2:56 PM EDT
Eden Hazard was understandably jovial following Chelsea’s clinching of the Premier League title.
May 3, 2015, 2:19 PM EDT
The Bundesliga club barely escaped relegation last season, and now they’re trying to do it again.
May 3, 2015, 1:40 PM EDT
With the Premier League championship officially decided, let’s look back to seven defining moments of Chelsea’s league season.
May 3, 2015, 12:53 PM EDT
Sergio Aguero got the better of Harry Kane at White Hart Lane.
May 3, 2015, 11:35 AM EDT
The Chelsea manager was all business following Chelsea’s title-clinching win over Crystal Palace.
May 3, 2015, 10:57 AM EDT
The Blues held the top spot in the Premier League table almost wire-to-wire, as no one came close.
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