Skip to content

Will a South American team win the World Cup?

Jun 5, 2014, 12:00 PM EST

Will Messi and Aguero lead Argentina to World Cup success? Getty Images

Will a South American team win the 2014 World Cup? The short answer: yes.

The long answer? Yes.

Ok, it’s not a certainty that a team from South America will wind up hoisting the trophy. There are no certainties when it comes to international soccer, except for the fact that when Brazil is involved, commentators will inevitably mention “samba.” But the continent has hosted the World Cup four times, with a South American country winning each time. South American nations have also won all three tournaments played in North America.

Of course, it can also be argued that this sort of split is sure to disappear with time. In the past, players weren’t used to such extensive travel. It was difficult to adjust to foreign conditions, foreign foods, foreign temperatures. But now that the vast majority of the world’s best players are hopping planes every couple weeks, and many associations have the means to begin preparations early in custom-built training camps, the home-continent advantage might soon be a thing of the past.

Still, the chances of this Cup going to a South American team are still rather high. Of FIFA’s top ten teams, four of them are from the continent. The rankings system may be a bit flawed, but the talent is still evident.

Ecuador
La Tri may have beaten Uruguay to the final automatic qualification spot, but they’re still the weakest side on the continent. Oh, and in Switzerland and France, they’ve got two very tough sides to beat should they want to make it out of Group E (they can probably make it past Honduras, however). Their strength lies in their wingers – Jefferson Montero and Antonio Valencia – but wide play alone isn’t going to cause Ecuador to make a deep run.

Uruguay
Wait, are Uruguay really the fifth-worst side in South America? Perhaps not. But they head to this tournament with fifteen of the same players that went to South Africa, and their age is starting to show. If Luis Suárez isn’t fully fit, it’s difficult to see the 35-year-old Diego Forlán shouldering much of the scoring burden. They’ve still got Edinson Cavani, but the forward had a rather poor season at PSG. Basically, they’re relying on dramatic goals from Suárez to gloss over a lack of shininess elsewhere.

Chile
Attacking, free-flowing, fun-loving soccer. This Chile side also features two world-class players, in Juventus midfielder Arturo Vidal and Barcelona forward Alexis Sánchez.  This side has its own weaknesses in defense, but it’s certainly capable of pipping Netherlands to second place in Group B. In fact, their style could even catch the heavily-favored Spain off guard. They’re not one of the most talked-about teams on the continent, but they should be.

Colombia
Colombia’s odds of lifting the World Cup diminished significantly with the news that Radamel Falcao wouldn’t be making the trip to Brazil. But to count out los cafeteros would be foolish. They’ve still got an incredibly talented creator in Monaco’s James Rodríguez, and Teófilo Gutiérrez, of River Plate, is rather good at scoring. Colombia should still be tipped to make it out of the group, and could very well find themselves in the quarter-finals.

Argentina
Argentina have a shaky defense and a goalkeeper that made all of three appearances for Monaco this season. Why are they being named as one of the sides most likely to win the tournament? Here are four reasons: Ángel di María, Sergio Agüero, Gonzalo Higuaín and Lionel Messi. Coach Alejandro Sabella has Messi playing the best he ever has for the albiceleste, putting to rest the worry that Messi would never be good for his country. And when the Barcelona man combines with the rest of that attack…well, who needs a defense?

Brazil
Don’t underestimate home-field advantage. The host team has won the tournament six times: Uruguay ’30, Italy ’34, England ’66, West Germany ’74, Argentina ’78, France ’98. And Brazil have lifted the Cup five times: ’58, ’62, ’70, ’94, ’02. Put those two together and you have an easy equation for predicting that Brazil will win in 2014. Plus, the Seleção have an incredibly talented squad, one that’s ready to attack without mercy. If Neymar’s at his best, it’s likely Brazil will be unstoppable.

Then again, the last time the World Cup came to town, in 1950, Brazil needed only a draw to emerge as World Champions. They ended up losing to Uruguay.

  1. jucam1 - Jun 5, 2014 at 3:22 PM

    Yes, i would say either Brasil, Argentina, or maybe even Chile wins it. The Dark-horses are Colombia and Uruguay. I think Brasil’s only European competition would be Spain and Germany, but that heat is going go be too much for European teams to deal with. No one from North and Central America has a prayer. I could see maybe a deep run from Nigeria or Ivory Coast, but they need to be lucky and more disciplined to beat the South American power houses. No European team has won a cup in South America, and Brasil is stacked and at home so i think they win. Argentina can run and typically score with any one. Chile has a great D and Midfield, even though they’ll struggle with the humidity as will Uruguay and they’re older. Colombia handles the heat really well cause they play in Barranquilla and have a solid team, but need Teo, Bacca, Jackson, or even Ramos to fill Falcao’s boots. But yes, a South American team will win this cup.

  2. atahualpaoxford - Jun 5, 2014 at 10:52 PM

    If a South American team ends up winning the Cup ( and I believe it will happen ), Brasil, Argentina and Uruguay are the only ones that can do it from that part of the world….

  3. godsholytrousers - Jun 9, 2014 at 3:01 PM

    Depends on how many penalty kicks given to FIFA’s Pets.

    It is easy to play the “beautiful game” when you are always 11 v 9 on the backs of the refs.

Leave Comment

You must be logged in to leave a comment. Not a member? Register now!

Featured video

Week 12: PL Sunday recap