Jun 11, 2014, 10:25 PM EDT
Haters of betting on futures in soccer, and in particular, top goalscorer, complain that the chances of winning are so far fetched that it’s not worth it.
Valid point. It’s really, really difficult to peg the player who will score the most.
But that doesn’t change the fact that playing futures is a fairly cheap, high-stakes, wildly exciting way to begin a major soccer tournament.
Foreseeing the favorites to take home the Golden Boot in this World Cup isn’t difficult: Lionel Messi (7-1), Neymar (10-1), Cristiano Ronaldo (14-1) and Sergio Aguero (14-1). Each one of these players is a solid bet because, simply enough, they’re world class players who play on world class teams. So if you’re partial to one then snap him up.
Unfortunately, the favorites rarely win the Golden Boot because being a great player on a great team simply doesn’t cover it. The player has to be healthy. He has to be surrounded by other players who can get him the ball. A favorable draw doesn’t hurt either.
Truth is there are a million factors that determine who nets the most goals in a World Cup. So many, in fact, that it tends to be the long shots that win.
Which is where you come in. Why not throw $10 down on a player to have the tournament of his life? If you hit it right the return could be oh so sweet. Below are four players with long shot odds that I like to have big performances in this World Cup. I encourage you to take a chance on one of them and enjoy the ride.
Romelu Lukaku (Belgium)
Lukaku is coming off a highly encouraging season on loan at Everton (from Chelsea) where he bagged 15 goals and 8 assists in 38 appearances. His form put the striker on the radar of every major club in Europe and from all indications, Lukaku appears intent on proving Blues manager Jose Mourinho wrong for turning his back on him. For Belgium, Lukaku will serve as their primary striker and goalscorer after Christian Benteke succumbed to an achilles injury. Factor in a potentially easy group with Russia, Algeria and South Korea, as well as consistent service from wingers Kevin De Bruyne and Eden Hazard, and Lukaku could have 6+ goals before his side are even out of the group stage.
A $10 bet returns $220.
Alexis Sanchez (Chile)
Quick, tricky and devastating in front of goal, Alexis Sanchez plays some of his best soccer with the national team. With his club Barcelona he’s not too bad, either, grabbing 19 goals and 12 assists in 34 appearances last year. The right winger will be the focal point of Chile’s slick-passing attack and like Lukaku, Sanchez is eager to prove to potential club suitors that he’s a goal scorer of the highest quality. His bust out could come early in the tournament as Chile take on Australia this Friday.
A $10 bet returns $660.
Edin Dzeko (Bosnia & Herzegovina)
The player I’m telling anyone who will listen to put money on to win the Golden Boot is Edin Dzeko. The Manchester City striker was magic for the Citizens this past spring, scoring five goals in three matches to help his side to the Premier League title. A master poacher, Dzeko catches fire and is impossible to stop. For Boznia & Herzegovina look for him to do nearly all of his side’s scoring, which could be a lot considering Iran and Nigeria are in their group.
A $10 bet returns $660.
Daniel Sturridge (England)
Hard to say why Sturridge is 80-1 odds to win the Golden Boot. This past season at Liverpool the striker was sublime, scoring 22 times in 29 matches, second only to fellow teammate Luis Suarez. Sturridge is slated to start for Roy Hodgson’s side with Wayne Rooney set to play the role of Suarez. With Uruguay and Italy it’s a tough group but don’t be surprised if Sturridge knicks a goal in each of those matches before capping his group performance with a hat-trick against Costa Rica.
A $10 bet returns $800.
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