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Study reveals Man United overpaid by $41 million for Angel di Maria, bargains for Chelsea, Liverpool

Sep 3, 2014, 9:48 AM EST

Britain Soccer Manchester United Angel Di Maria AP

Now that the summer transfer window is closed, some clever clogs have been totting up all the numbers and some things just aren’t adding up.

According to a study performed by the CIES Football Observatory, they believe they can now “assess whether clubs have overpaid, underpaid or paid the correct market price for their new signings.”

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This could be very interesting, and, it is.

According to the folks at CIES the top clubs are currently paying, on average, 16 percent more for players than they should. Their statistcal model was developed in 2009 and incorporates over 1,500 transfer fees which have been paid in that time. Specifically from the 2014-15 summer transfer window, CIES state that Manchester United paid $41 million over the odds for Angel di Maria. That is staggering.

Other clubs who spent way more than they should have include Paris Saint-Germain, who paid $38 million too much for David Luiz after he signed from Chelsea for $82 million. Wowza. James Rodriguez was the other man who was bought way over the odds, as Real Madrid splashed out $107 million for his services. That’s $32 million more than he should have cost.

Those were the losers (big, big losers) when it came to inflated transfers prices this summer. But there has to be winners, right?

Liverpool can be feeling pretty chuffed, as Mario Balotelli arrived for $21 million less than he should  have. The Italian international arrived for $26 million from AC Milan and should have cost nearly $50 million. Good business from the Reds. Two other players who seem like bargains, and actually are, include Diego Costa‘s move to Chelsea and Luis Suarez heading to Barcelona.

Okay, maybe not Suarez, who cost Barcelona over $128 million, but according to these stats he should have cost $143 million. So Barca saved themselves nearly $16 million. Result. As for Costa, Chelsea managed to snap the Spanish forward up for $56 million from Atletico Madrid but he is really worth $72 million. That’s a saving of $16 million.

Of course, all of these stats are just in relation to the normal fees paid. The human factor counts for a lot when it comes to these transfers, as does the willingness for clubs to haggle and try to keep their best players around. In the case of this summer, Manchester United got played, while Chelsea are the master negotiators.

Here’s the highlights from the findings: 

  • Angel di Maria should have cost $50 million, not $99 million
  • Mario Balotelli’s value is $47 million, he arrived at Liverpool for $26 million
  • David Luis was sold to PSG by Chelsea for $82 million, his correct value is $44 million
  • Diego Costa should have cost Chelsea $72 million, they paid $56 million for him
  • James Rodriguez cost Real Madrid over $107 million, he is worth $75 million
  • Prices, on average, were up 16 percent during the summer transfer window

  1. urallstupid - Sep 3, 2014 at 9:56 AM

    man if only everything in life was sold for only their real value and nothing else.

  2. Ian's Rushtache - Sep 3, 2014 at 11:02 AM

    Not surprised about Man U overpaying. A rough start to the season, massive profits, the need for a splash signing in hopes of achieving European footy combined to cause the club to be bent over a barrel. They are not the first and won’t be the last. See the transfer of Carroll, Andy to Liverpool.

  3. bamphsports - Sep 3, 2014 at 11:35 AM

    Reblogged this on bamph sports and commented:
    #deadlineday

  4. geejon - Sep 3, 2014 at 2:10 PM

    Any statistical analysis that concludes that Di Maria and Balotelli should have cost roughly the same amount should probably be printed out and used as toilet paper.

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